Speculation Sentiment

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract I exploit the leveraged exchange-traded funds’ (ETFs’) primary market to measure aggregate, uninformed, gambling-like demand, that is, speculation sentiment. The ETFs’ is a novel setting provides observable arbitrage activity attributed correcting mispricing between shares and their underlying assets. proxies for magnitude direction of speculative demand shocks use them form Speculation Sentiment Index. negatively relates contemporaneous returns (e.g., it bullish in down markets) predicts returns. results are consistent with sentiment causing market-wide price distortions later reverse.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1756-6916', '0022-1090']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109022000291